Thursday, December 29, 2005

Weekly Update 12/29/05

A nice article here by Dave Studeman over at The Hardball Times that discusses, among other things, the notion that better pitchers leave more runners on base. The methodology to evaluate this seems pretty strong. He also forecasts that Jarrod Washburn is "due for a big correction downward" - as for A.J. Burnett "upward correction in the forecast". I'm less optimistic about the Washburn signing this week than I was last week - especially after reading this.

The "trade Reed for x" rumors are heating up again. As more time goes by, I'm less and less enthusiastic about trading Reed. Show me an awesome deal and I may be inclined to change my thinking - but it better be an awesome deal.

I got a copy of Moneyball for Christmas (a little behind the times). It's a fascinating read so far - and enlightening as well.

Happy New Year! Sending along my wishes for happiness, health, and prosperity to you all.


Edit: Kevin Millwood ends up with the Rangers. If they actually ever do assemble a pitching staff, they will win a LOT of ballgames.

Friday, December 23, 2005

Weekly Update 12/23/05

As this week ends, I have to give a cautious "thumbs up" to the Washburn deal. I would like it a lot more if it was a 2 year deal - but it's no longer possible to ignore the market reality - you have to overpay if you are going to play. Besides, Washburn has not been all that bad - take a look at Dr. Detecto's analysis here.

I really like the Matt Lawton signing. I'm hoping it's not at the expense of Jeremy Reed. Then again, seeing Ichiro! playing CF on a regular basis does have a certain appeal. Continuing on the possible trade scenarios, I would like to see Gil Meche move on to greener pastures - although I'm not sure what the team would do with Patterson now that Lawton is signed.

The DFA's were not surprising. Glad to see the organization cut ties with the marginal performers who were never going to amount to anything above replacement value and make room for some of the up-and-comers who will amount to something. At least we won't be hearing from Ryan "I never get any run support" Franklin next season (I hope).

I want to take this opportunity to wish everyone a very Merry Christmas!!

Wednesday, December 21, 2005

Non-tendered Players

Bryan Smith over at Baseball Analysts has some interesting comments concerning several players that were non-tendered yesterday. The best:
  • Ryan Franklin - "I would suggest he look into the salary difference between being a AAA ace and whatever job he could get away from baseball very soon."
  • Wade Miller - "It appears as if the days in which Wade Miller has great stuff are gone, and he must learn to adapt with merely average stuff."
  • Miguel Olivo - "If he could walk or make contact, he'd be an everyday catcher."
  • Eric Byrnes - "I've always thought of him as a poor man's Aaron Rowand, and someone in need of a versatile 4th outfielder, and accomplished southpaw basher should call Byrnes up."

Finnigan Hits The Nail On The Head

In today's Times, Bob Finnigan hits the nail on the head with the following quote:

"After removing the three players from the 40-man roster Tuesday, Seattle has now dropped 22 of the 48 players who appeared in games in 2005, including 13 of 27 position players and nine of 21 pitchers."

I usually don't pay much attention to Finny, but with this sentence, he has laid out the one salient item from this offseason that will result in some measure of success for the Mariners in 2006. By purging the remnants of the post-2001 ballclub, Bill Bavasi will ensure that the club will forget it's "losing ways" and go forth with a new attitude. I like it.

More on Friday concerning the Washburn signing and non-tenders.

Thursday, December 15, 2005

Weekly Update 12/15/05

It's a day early, but I wanted to get the update done today while some of my thoughts concerning recent events are relatively fresh.

With regard to the Carl Everett signing, I'm going the other way from most of the reaction that I've seen in the blogosphere so far. Everett hit more HR last year than all but one member of the 2005 Mariners. Everett had more RBI than all but 2 members of the 2005 Mariners. And after listening to the press conference yesterday, it's clear that Carl Everett has a burning desire to win. And winning is what it's all about my friends. Time will tell how good (or bad) this signing is. I'm also a little surprised at the righteous indignation over this signing. I thought that Seattle was a tolerant city - apparently not - at least when it comes to Carl Everett. For me, it's pragmatic - if he helps my ballclub win, then he's okay with me.

The lack of movement on the pitching front is beginning to be an item of concern. The FA names that have been mentioned as possible targets don't do much for me after you pass Kevin Millwood's name on the list. And Ponson? You must be kidding. But once again, I'm willing to give BB and Co. a chance to put their entire plan into action. There's plenty of time between now and ST to decide whether or not they have a good one.

Edit: The other point I wanted to make concerning Carl Everett is that freedom of expression is guaranteed by the Constitution - even when that opinion doesn't happen to agree with your personal belief system.

Friday, December 09, 2005

Weekly Update 12/9/05

Forget what I said last week. The Winter Meetings are over, and aside from Jamie Moyer returning to the fold, not much has changed. Although Marcos Carvajal looks to be a good addition to the bullpen, he's not the "impact" player that we were hoping to see.

Patience is a virtue.

I did tweak the site template a bit - it's getting closer to what I'm looking for.

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Olerud Retires

According to the Times, John Olerud has decided to retire. He was one of the classiest acts ever to play ball for the Mariners. The softest hands and that sweet, sweet swing. Good luck in all your future endeavors John!

Edit: One other thing about John Olerud. When my son was younger, we used to send off baseball cards to Peoria every ST with a stamped, self-addressed envelope and ask the players to sign. Some did - some didn't - but John Olerud was always one of the good guys who signed.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Dave Makes The Cut!

Dave Niehaus has been selected as a finalist in this year's Ford C. Frick Award competition. Here's the link. Dave and Denny Mathews (KC) are the only active broadcasters on the ballot. Good luck Dave!!

Friday, December 02, 2005

Weekly Update 12/2/05

Another week has passed in Mariner Land without any real news. The local papers and the blogosphere are full of speculation and rumors, but nothing has materialized so far. I suspect that by this time next week a few of the pieces will have fallen into place.

We did learn that Ichiro! will play for Japan in the World Baseball Classic and will consequently be a scare commodity at ST. In light of his remarks published earlier, this may be fortuitous.